I am still recovering from a cold my daughter caught for me at her daycare last week (as those of you who watched yesterday’s ...

Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris.

Elliott and David explain both sides of the current debate over the accuracy of the polls, and talk through the state of play ...

It’s our pleasure to invite you to a pre-election briefing exclusively for Founding Members of The Downballot and Strength In ...

Low-effort” survey respondents vote very differently than other poll-takers, and that could be biasing polls by up to 3.5 ...

House is looking like a lock for Democrats, while Republicans are losing their grip on the Senate. But how much should you believe the forecasts?

This piece is possible because paying subscribers to Strength In Numbers have supported our original, independent polling project that has gathered data every month since May 2025. If you want to get ...

This article reports new results from the August 2026 Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll, fielded Aug. 14–19 among 1,514 U.S. adults (margin of error ±2.6 points ...

Michigan’s Senate race is closer than the national environment says it should be. Many analysts have settled on a simple explanation: Abdul El-Sayed is too progressive. Writing for the New York Times ...

Voters in Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District voted on Tuesday, Dec. 2, to fill a vacancy left by Republican representative Mark Green, who resigned from Congress in July 2025. The election for ...

In the 2024 election, Donald Trump gained a surprising edge from an unlikely group: Americans who typically don’t vote. According to a New York Times analysis, these low-turnout voters backed Trump by ...